San Gwann vs Mtarfa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
11º
3º
7
10º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 14 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 14 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 14 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Gwann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAN
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAR
54%
23%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FUN
1 - 1
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
LIJ
40%
23%
37%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MOS
5 - 0
SAN
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Mtarfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
MTA
2 - 1
MQA
46%
22%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 1
MTA
78%
14%
7%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
MTA
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MTA
2 - 2
MAR
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FUN
1 - 1
MTA
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |