San Gwann vs Marsa FC analysis

San Gwann Marsa FC
51 ELO 52
-1.4% Tilt 19.6%
3715º General ELO ranking 2870º
23º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
34.5%
San Gwann
24.9%
Draw
40.5%
Marsa FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
San Gwann
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.5%
Win probability
Marsa FC
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
San Gwann
+45%
-22%
Marsa FC

Points and table prediction

San Gwann
Their league position
Marsa FC
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
15º
13º
24
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sliema Wanderers
47
47
100%
Naxxar Lions FC
41
41
100%
Zejtun Corinthians FC
33
33
100%
Tarxien Rainbows
32
32
100%
Zurrieq FC
29
29
100%
Melita
26
26
100%
Fgura United FC
25
25
100%
Marsa FC
24
24
100%
Swieqi United
24
24
100%
Saint Andrews
10º
22
22
10º
100%
Lija
11º
20
20
11º
100%
Attard
12º
19
19
12º
100%
San Gwann
13º
18
18
13º
100%
Marsaskala
14º
15
15
14º
0%
Mqabba FC
15º
15
15
15º
0%
Mtarfa
17º
14
14
16º
100%
Qrendi
16º
14
14
17º
100%
Vittoriosa Stars
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
San Gwann
Marsa FC
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 100%

ELO progression

San Gwann
Marsa FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

San Gwann
San Gwann
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2022
SLI
Sliema Wanderers
3 - 1
San Gwann
SAN
49%
25%
26%
51 57 6 0
02 Oct. 2022
SAN
San Gwann
3 - 1
Vittoriosa Stars
VIT
69%
19%
12%
51 40 11 0
11 Sep. 2022
SAI
Saint Andrews
1 - 1
San Gwann
SAN
36%
24%
40%
51 50 1 0
08 Sep. 2022
SAN
San Gwann
0 - 1
Attard
ATT
55%
23%
22%
52 48 4 -1
04 Sep. 2022
FUN
Fgura United FC
4 - 0
San Gwann
SAN
35%
25%
40%
53 51 2 -1

Matches

Marsa FC
Marsa FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2022
MAR
Marsa FC
2 - 1
Mqabba FC
MQA
80%
13%
6%
52 37 15 0
09 Sep. 2022
MAR
Marsa FC
4 - 0
Qrendi
QRE
70%
18%
12%
52 43 9 0
06 Sep. 2022
NAX
Naxxar Lions FC
2 - 0
Marsa FC
MAR
42%
24%
34%
53 52 1 -1
03 Sep. 2022
SLI
Sliema Wanderers
1 - 0
Marsa FC
MAR
38%
25%
37%
53 54 1 0
27 Aug. 2022
MAR
Marsa FC
1 - 1
Vittoriosa Stars
VIT
82%
13%
6%
54 37 17 -1