San Gwann vs Marsa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Gwann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SWI
1 - 0
SAN
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 2
SAN
46%
23%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
GUD
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
PAT
0 - 1
SAN
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
MQA
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Marsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 10
SIR
17%
21%
62%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 3
NAX
20%
22%
58%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SLU
7 - 1
MAR
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 3
ZEJ
26%
24%
50%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
QRE
3 - 2
MAR
61%
21%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |