Salzburg vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
5º
3º
46
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
AUS
0 - 1
RBS
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
RBS
1 - 1
WAT
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
SKA
0 - 0
RBS
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LAS
2 - 1
RBS
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
RBS
1 - 4
ATM
7%
15%
77%
|
82 | 97 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
STR
2 - 1
FCB
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
WOL
3 - 0
STR
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
RYV
3 - 0
STR
48%
24%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
STR
2 - 2
AUS
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
STR
2 - 3
RYV
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |