Salzburg vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
STR
0 - 1
RBS
40%
25%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
RBS
5 - 1
HAR
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LAS
0 - 1
RBS
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
RBS
1 - 0
SKA
39%
25%
37%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
RBS
7 - 0
SCA
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
STR
0 - 1
RBS
40%
25%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
STR
0 - 2
FCB
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SKA
0 - 4
STR
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 1
STR
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 1
STR
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |