Salzburg vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
2º
1º
42
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 9 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 8 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
LAS
0 - 1
RBS
43%
24%
34%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
RBS
2 - 1
RAP
44%
24%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
RAP
1 - 1
RBS
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
STR
0 - 2
RBS
39%
24%
37%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
RBS
0 - 0
LAS
45%
24%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
STR
4 - 1
SKA
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AUS
1 - 2
STR
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
RAP
0 - 2
STR
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
STR
3 - 2
AUS
39%
24%
36%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
STR
0 - 2
RBS
39%
24%
37%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |