UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 3-0
Salzburg vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
WUR
1 - 4
RBS
18%
22%
60%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
RBS
3 - 1
YOB
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
RBS
0 - 0
FCU
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
RBS
2 - 1
SLP
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
VOC
1 - 0
RBS
4%
11%
85%
|
82 | 29 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
LIE
1 - 0
BFC
79%
15%
6%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
LIE
43%
27%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
LIE
3 - 1
RIG
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
LIE
3 - 0
FSM
74%
18%
9%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
LIE
0 - 1
FKJ
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |