FA Cup Previa 1
Global 6-8
Saltash United vs Millbrook analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saltash United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MLB
2 - 2
SAL
21%
20%
59%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
HEA
1 - 1
SAL
49%
21%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 0
TAV
23%
20%
57%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 2
MID
5%
11%
84%
|
22 | 70 | 48 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
SAL
0 - 7
PLY
8%
14%
79%
|
22 | 57 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Millbrook
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MLB
2 - 2
SAL
21%
20%
59%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
MLB
0 - 2
MAF
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
MLB
0 - 1
BRI
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |