SC Salgueiros vs Alpendorada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
15.1%
5.3%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
5º
2º
29
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18.5% | 33% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 67% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 1
SAL
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 2
CAM
68%
21%
11%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 2
SAL
6%
13%
81%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 1
LEC
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAL
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 3
REB
31%
23%
47%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
RES
0 - 3
ALP
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 0
ALP
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALP
3 - 2
CAM
17%
20%
62%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +3 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 0
ALP
32%
22%
46%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |