Salgueiro vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ACA
0 - 1
SAL
15%
23%
61%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 1
SED
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 1
SPO
8%
18%
74%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAL
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
RFC
0 - 1
SAL
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
NAU
0 - 3
FOR
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
NAU
2 - 2
RFC
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
CRB
2 - 3
NAU
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAU
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 1
ABC
58%
22%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |