Salgueiro vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
46.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAL
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 1
GLO
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 1
CON
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAL
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2018 |
SAL
0 - 0
SAN
30%
30%
41%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
CON
2 - 3
NAU
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
NAU
3 - 1
ATL
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 0
BOT
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
NAU
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
NAU
3 - 2
REM
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |