Salgueiro vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 1
SAN
16%
22%
61%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAL
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 1
CEN
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
SIN
1 - 0
SAL
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
NAU
0 - 2
SAL
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NAU
2 - 1
SPO
26%
25%
50%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
NAU
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
NAU
0 - 0
CAM
74%
18%
9%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
BEL
0 - 2
NAU
11%
21%
69%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |