Pernambucano 1 Semi-finals
Global 0-4
Salgueiro vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
44.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
SPO
14%
22%
65%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAL
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 1
FER
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 2
NAU
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 2
SAL
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAN
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
NAU
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 2
NAU
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 1
VIT
72%
18%
9%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NAU
3 - 0
CEN
79%
15%
6%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |