Salgueiro vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
58.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAL
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
SAL
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 1
SPO
20%
25%
56%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
ASA
2 - 1
SAL
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 1
VIT
19%
24%
57%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NAU
5 - 3
CHA
88%
9%
3%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
PES
3 - 2
NAU
8%
16%
76%
|
74 | 39 | 35 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
NAU
8 - 0
PET
84%
12%
4%
|
74 | 34 | 40 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 3
NAU
10%
17%
73%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 1
CEN
81%
13%
5%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |