Salgueiro vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
56.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAL
63%
23%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 0
DUQ
24%
27%
50%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 1
SAL
78%
16%
7%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 1
SAO
15%
25%
60%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 2
CEN
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 2
BRA
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CRI
0 - 0
NAU
49%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
NAU
1 - 0
GOI
28%
26%
47%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
POR
4 - 0
NAU
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NAU
3 - 2
SPO
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +2 |