Salgueiro vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
53.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 0
SAL
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 0
CAB
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ABC
2 - 0
SAL
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
SAL
1 - 1
ABC
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
PAY
2 - 3
SAL
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 1
NAU
18%
21%
62%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
NAU
3 - 0
PET
81%
14%
6%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAU
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
NAU
4 - 1
VIL
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 1
NAU
43%
25%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |