Salgueiro vs Flamengo Arcoverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
FLU
5 - 0
SAL
80%
15%
6%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
SAM
4 - 0
SAL
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
NAU
4 - 0
SAL
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 1
SAN
32%
26%
43%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 3
SAL
18%
22%
61%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo Arcoverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
FEC
0 - 1
PES
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FEC
0 - 1
AFO
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 0
FEC
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 1
FEC
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
FEC
0 - 0
SPO
2%
7%
91%
|
38 | 76 | 38 | 0 |