Série D Brazil Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Salgueiro vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SAL
3 - 1
PLA
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 1
SAL
23%
26%
52%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 2
SAL
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 0
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 2
SCI
10%
21%
69%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
TIR
0 - 1
BOT
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 1
TIR
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 1
CEN
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 1
BOT
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
BOT
4 - 2
SDJ
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |