Série D Brazil Knock-outs Last 16
Global 2-2
Salgueiro vs Altos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SAL
4 - 0
VIT
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
VIT
4 - 3
SAL
34%
27%
40%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 0
GUA
62%
22%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAL
27%
28%
45%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 0
ARN
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
ALT
2 - 0
4DE
51%
23%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ALT
3 - 1
RIO
71%
16%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 2
ALT
38%
26%
37%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 0
ALT
29%
26%
45%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
3 - 0
ALT
24%
25%
50%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -2 |