Serie B relegation play-off Final
Global 0-5
Salernitana vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
SAM
2 - 0
SAL
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
CTT
0 - 2
SAL
42%
28%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 0
SAL
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SAL
2 - 0
MAN
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
SPE
2 - 0
SAL
59%
23%
19%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
SAM
2 - 0
SAL
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
JUS
0 - 0
SAM
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 0
SAL
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FCC
2 - 2
SAM
54%
23%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
SAM
0 - 0
USC
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |