Salernitana vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
FRO
0 - 0
SAL
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
PRG
1 - 0
SAL
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 2
ACP
54%
24%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
PIS
0 - 0
SAL
58%
23%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 1
ISC
73%
18%
10%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
PAG
1 - 3
FCC
24%
28%
48%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ASG
2 - 0
PAG
65%
22%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
PAG
1 - 2
NOC
26%
28%
46%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 1
PAG
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
PAG
1 - 4
PRG
22%
29%
49%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |