Salernitana vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
34.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 1
SAL
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2004 |
FIO
1 - 0
SAL
71%
18%
10%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
SAL
0 - 2
LIV
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
CAT
2 - 0
SAL
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2004 |
SAL
2 - 2
TRI
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PIA
1 - 0
MES
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
MES
3 - 2
AVE
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2004 |
CAG
1 - 1
MES
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
MES
3 - 0
CAT
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
VIC
2 - 1
MES
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |