Salernitana vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
APR
1 - 1
SAL
15%
22%
63%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 1
PON
71%
18%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 0
SAL
12%
21%
67%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 1
ASD
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BOR
0 - 0
SAL
14%
21%
65%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ASM
2 - 1
LAQ
36%
27%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ARZ
0 - 1
ASM
49%
25%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ASM
4 - 0
FON
73%
18%
9%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RAA
0 - 1
ASM
26%
27%
48%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 0
MAR
32%
26%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |