Salernitana vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2008 |
SAL
0 - 1
SAS
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
SAS
0 - 1
SAL
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
MAS
1 - 1
SAL
26%
29%
45%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
SAL
2 - 0
PES
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
POT
0 - 1
SAL
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
CES
3 - 1
ACC
76%
15%
9%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
RAV
0 - 0
CES
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
CES
2 - 2
PIA
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 1
CES
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
CES
1 - 0
AVE
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |