Sakhalin Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk vs Arsenal Tula II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
8º
7º
31
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sakhalin Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SAK
1 - 0
ZEN
44%
25%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAK
1 - 0
SPA
38%
27%
35%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
KPP
2 - 2
SAK
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
KHI
1 - 0
SAK
49%
23%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FDV
1 - 0
SAK
68%
21%
11%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ARS
0 - 2
ZEN
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 0
ARS
46%
24%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ARS
1 - 0
KPP
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
KHI
2 - 2
ARS
42%
23%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ARS
0 - 2
FDV
20%
24%
57%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |