Saint Renan U19 vs SA Mérignac U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
61%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+417%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
9º
14º
13º
20
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 50% |
|
Relegation
|
79% | 50% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Renan U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LOR
0 - 0
SRS
82%
11%
7%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SRS
1 - 1
STA
14%
18%
69%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SRS
1 - 2
AVR
16%
20%
64%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 1
SRS
81%
12%
7%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SRS
4 - 3
BER
14%
18%
68%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
SA Mérignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SAM
0 - 2
REN
20%
21%
60%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
SCB
7 - 1
SAM
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 4
NAN
21%
23%
57%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
LOR
24%
21%
56%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
STA
2 - 0
SAM
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |