Saint-Ouen-l'Aumône vs Linas-Montlhery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
8º
6º
42
1º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
11º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Ouen-l'Aumône
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
FBB
1 - 0
SAI
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ALE
0 - 3
SAI
33%
23%
44%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SAI
2 - 2
AGC
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 1
SAI
46%
22%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SAI
2 - 2
DIV
54%
21%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Linas-Montlhery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ESA
3 - 0
AGC
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
GRQ
1 - 1
ESA
23%
21%
56%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CAE
4 - 1
ESA
41%
24%
36%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ESA
3 - 2
DIV
52%
23%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 0
ESA
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |