Saint-Étienne vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
21.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
ASS
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 4
LYO
24%
25%
51%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
MPL
1 - 2
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ASS
2 - 1
TFC
46%
27%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
LEN
2 - 1
ASS
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
NIC
0 - 3
PSG
28%
28%
44%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
REN
2 - 0
NIC
61%
23%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 0
SOC
42%
28%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
DRA
0 - 1
NIC
10%
20%
71%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
GIR
2 - 0
NIC
67%
21%
13%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |