Saint-Étienne II vs Lyon-Duchère II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
9º
3º
20
8º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
92% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
92% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
HAL
2 - 1
SAE
33%
22%
45%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SAE
1 - 0
VAU
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
SAE
49%
23%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SAE
0 - 2
RVA
32%
27%
41%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DOM
0 - 3
SAE
15%
18%
67%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LDU
2 - 0
MON
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LDU
0 - 0
FEU
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
HAL
3 - 1
LDU
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LDU
0 - 0
VAU
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 2
LDU
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |