Saint Andrews vs Luqa St. Andrew's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Andrews
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SAI
5 - 0
LIJ
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LUQ
2 - 2
SAI
38%
25%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SAI
2 - 1
ATT
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MSI
1 - 3
SAI
21%
24%
56%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 0
TAR
17%
23%
60%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Luqa St. Andrew's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TAR
3 - 3
LUQ
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LUQ
2 - 2
SAI
38%
25%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ZEB
4 - 0
LUQ
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LUQ
0 - 4
SWI
29%
27%
45%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ZEJ
1 - 1
LUQ
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |