Saif vs Arambagh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
ABA
3 - 2
SAI
50%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2017 |
SAI
0 - 1
MUK
70%
16%
13%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -13 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ABA
1 - 1
SAI
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Arambagh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2017 |
ARA
2 - 4
RAH
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 2
ACH
37%
26%
37%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2017 |
MDH
2 - 1
ARA
40%
26%
34%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 0
TEA
44%
26%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2016 |
SHR
0 - 1
ARA
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |