Sagreño vs Recas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
45.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ESQ
4 - 3
SAG
46%
23%
32%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SAG
4 - 0
TOR
49%
22%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MEN
2 - 1
SAG
39%
23%
37%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Recas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
REC
2 - 1
POR
30%
23%
47%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ESQ
1 - 2
REC
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
REC
4 - 0
MOR
59%
20%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |