Sagreño vs Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ECG
2 - 1
SAG
16%
21%
63%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SAG
6 - 0
TAL
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 2
SAG
26%
24%
51%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SAG
5 - 0
ASA
81%
14%
6%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
SAG
18%
22%
59%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
TAL
3 - 0
CAL
37%
24%
40%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 1
ARG
37%
23%
40%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ASA
1 - 3
CAL
29%
23%
48%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 3
CON
54%
23%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FUE
1 - 2
CAL
62%
20%
19%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |