Sagreño vs Alameda de la Sagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
SAG
18%
22%
59%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SAG
1 - 1
FUE
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 2
SAG
15%
21%
64%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
SCR
1 - 1
SAG
14%
21%
65%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CAZ
2 - 4
SAG
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alameda de la Sagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ASA
1 - 2
VIL
33%
23%
44%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
BAR
5 - 1
ASA
79%
14%
7%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ASA
2 - 4
ARG
31%
23%
47%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ASA
1 - 2
MEN
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ASA
3 - 2
ECG
19%
19%
62%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |