Sagrada Esperança vs Progresso Sambizanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagrada Esperança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
2 - 0
SAG
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
SAG
1 - 0
PRI
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
BEN
2 - 0
SAG
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
CDH
1 - 0
SAG
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
SAG
0 - 0
PDC
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Progresso Sambizanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2006 |
PRO
2 - 2
CDH
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
PDC
0 - 2
PRO
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
PRO
0 - 2
PRI
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
INT
2 - 1
PRO
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
PRO
0 - 0
ASA
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |