Sagawa Shiga vs Yokogawa Musashino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagawa Shiga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 2
SAG
18%
22%
60%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SAG
2 - 0
VVA
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 2
SAG
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 1
JEF
52%
23%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
YSC
1 - 3
SAG
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Yokogawa Musashino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
YOK
1 - 3
FUJ
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
YOK
2 - 1
TOC
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
RYK
1 - 3
YOK
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 0
YOK
69%
18%
12%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
YOK
0 - 7
HON
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -2 |