Sagawa Shiga vs Yokogawa Musashino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagawa Shiga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
FCK
1 - 2
SAG
12%
22%
67%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
BLA
1 - 3
SAG
17%
24%
59%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 2
SAG
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
SAG
2 - 0
JEF
73%
18%
10%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
SAG
3 - 0
VVA
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Yokogawa Musashino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
YOK
1 - 0
BLA
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
MMM
1 - 2
YOK
23%
25%
52%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
VVA
2 - 0
YOK
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
YOK
1 - 3
MIO
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
HON
0 - 2
YOK
65%
21%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |