Sagawa Shiga vs Tochigi Uva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagawa Shiga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
KAM
0 - 1
SAG
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 0
SAG
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MIO
2 - 2
SAG
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SAG
0 - 1
BLA
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
YOK
1 - 1
SAG
20%
24%
56%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tochigi Uva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 4
VVA
29%
25%
47%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TOC
3 - 3
HON
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ZWE
0 - 0
TOC
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TOC
2 - 1
HON
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
RYK
4 - 2
TOC
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |