Sagawa Shiga vs Kwansei Gakuin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagawa Shiga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SAG
0 - 0
ZWE
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
HON
1 - 1
SAG
20%
24%
56%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
SAG
4 - 3
RYK
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
TOC
2 - 3
SAG
21%
23%
56%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SAG
2 - 1
KAM
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Kwansei Gakuin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ZWE
1 - 0
KGU
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 60 | 41 | 0 |