Sagan Tosu vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
THE
0 - 0
SAG
38%
27%
34%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
SAG
2 - 1
KYO
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
TOC
0 - 0
SAG
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
SAG
0 - 1
KAT
76%
17%
7%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
ROA
0 - 0
SAG
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
THE
0 - 0
SAG
38%
27%
34%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
FAG
1 - 2
THE
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2011 |
THE
0 - 5
GAI
44%
26%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
TOK
3 - 0
THE
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
THE
1 - 2
MIT
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |