Sagan Tosu vs Oita Trinita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SAG
2 - 1
SHI
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
VEG
0 - 1
SAG
32%
29%
40%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
SAG
0 - 4
YFM
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
KAR
1 - 3
SAG
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
CER
1 - 0
SAG
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
OIT
2 - 0
SHO
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
4 - 1
OIT
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
OIT
1 - 3
VIS
21%
25%
55%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
OIT
1 - 1
CON
20%
25%
55%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
THE
1 - 2
OIT
21%
23%
56%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |