Sagan Tosu vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
SHO
0 - 2
SAG
35%
26%
40%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
VIS
2 - 2
SAG
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
SAG
3 - 2
FCT
28%
27%
45%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 0
SAG
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
SAG
2 - 1
GAM
20%
22%
58%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
KAA
3 - 0
NAG
85%
11%
4%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
NAG
0 - 3
KAW
17%
20%
62%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -2 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
OMI
1 - 0
NAG
84%
12%
4%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
GAM
3 - 3
NAG
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
NAG
1 - 1
KAR
30%
24%
47%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |