Sagan Tosu vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
48.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CER
3 - 2
SAG
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 1
SAG
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SAG
3 - 1
KAR
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
OMI
1 - 0
SAG
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SAG
0 - 1
KAM
74%
17%
10%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
FAG
2 - 3
NAG
15%
22%
63%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NAG
0 - 0
OMI
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ALB
5 - 0
NAG
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
NAG
1 - 2
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CER
0 - 2
NAG
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |