Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
ROA
0 - 0
SAG
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
SAG
1 - 2
TOC
55%
24%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
SAG
2 - 0
GIF
72%
19%
10%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
SAG
1 - 2
EHI
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
GIR
0 - 0
SAG
16%
25%
60%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Kataller Toyama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
KAT
1 - 2
JEF
15%
23%
62%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
KAT
0 - 2
TOK
31%
28%
42%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
CON
0 - 0
KAT
68%
21%
12%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
KAT
1 - 5
TOK
27%
26%
48%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
MIT
3 - 0
KAT
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |