Sagan Tosu vs Kashiwa Reysol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
SAG
0 - 0
VIS
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SAG
0 - 0
URA
13%
20%
68%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
AVI
1 - 1
SAG
78%
16%
7%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
SAG
0 - 1
OMI
10%
20%
70%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
SAG
1 - 1
KAW
21%
22%
58%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Kashiwa Reysol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
YFM
3 - 0
KAR
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
KAR
3 - 2
AVI
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
KAR
1 - 2
ALB
72%
17%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
KAR
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
KAR
1 - 3
KAW
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |