Sagan Tosu vs Giravanz Kitakyushu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
EHI
2 - 2
SAG
19%
25%
55%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SAG
2 - 0
YOK
72%
19%
9%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
GIF
4 - 4
SAG
12%
23%
65%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
SAG
1 - 0
JEF
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SAG
0 - 0
FCT
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Giravanz Kitakyushu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
NAG
1 - 0
GIR
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
GIR
2 - 0
ROA
43%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MIT
1 - 0
GIR
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
GIR
2 - 1
TOC
41%
28%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
GIF
1 - 3
GIR
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |