Sagan Tosu vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SAG
1 - 0
SAN
29%
25%
47%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
KAW
1 - 1
SAG
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SAG
1 - 3
KAR
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SAG
0 - 3
SAN
37%
26%
38%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
VEN
0 - 1
SAG
15%
22%
64%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ALB
0 - 2
SHI
7%
18%
75%
|
31 | 69 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
VIS
2 - 1
ALB
80%
14%
7%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
ALB
81%
14%
6%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
HOU
0 - 2
ALB
81%
13%
5%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
YFM
1 - 0
ALB
73%
19%
8%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |