Sagan Tosu vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
KAW
2 - 0
SAG
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SAG
1 - 0
CER
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SAG
1 - 0
YFM
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
GAM
4 - 1
SAG
56%
22%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
KAR
2 - 0
SAG
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
SHI
2 - 1
ALB
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ALB
0 - 0
VEN
51%
27%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ALB
3 - 0
KAW
23%
25%
52%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
NAG
0 - 1
ALB
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
ALB
0 - 2
URA
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |