Sagan Tosu vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
29.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 0
SAN
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
NAG
1 - 0
SAG
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
VEG
2 - 0
SAG
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SAG
3 - 0
VIS
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 0
YFM
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 0
VIS
46%
24%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CER
0 - 1
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 0
YFM
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
SHI
1 - 0
ALB
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 1
GAM
22%
23%
56%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |