Safa vs Al Hikma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
6º
5º
14
3º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TAD
4 - 1
SAF
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
SAF
1 - 0
ALA
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 1
SAF
17%
22%
60%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
HIK
2 - 1
SAF
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SAF
1 - 2
TRI
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Al Hikma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
HIK
1 - 2
SAL
78%
16%
7%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
HIK
0 - 0
TRI
51%
25%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 1
HIK
31%
25%
45%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
HIK
2 - 1
SAF
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TAD
2 - 0
HIK
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |